Predictions and Asymmetry

We compare where the market is, to a range of where it could be, and focus on how we can be wrong a lot but still get paid.

DOTM Calls

By buying long-dated DOTM call options on stocks, you have a position that will slowly add exposure as the stock moves your way.

The Wealth S-Curve

The Wealth S-Curve explains the connection between demographics, energy consumption, and GDP per capita.